forget st. lukes, this is the reality of philippine healthcare

This was originally written for Abraaj Capital and the Melinda and Bill Gates Foundation

This paper provides a glimpse of the Philippine Healthcare Sector and is not meant to be a comprehensive treatise on the subject. The first part looks at the relative standing of the Philippines from a global macroeconomic perspective. The second part looks at some characteristics of the Philippine healthcare space and the significant potential that it represents.

Global Overview

This discussion of the Philippine Health Care Sector begins with an oft-cited statistic – beds/10,000 population. The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation puts that number for the Philippines at 5 beds/ 10,000 population (Chart A). This puts it in the company of Benin and Uganda tied for 168th to 170th places among 182 countries surveyed which reported data.

This is very discouraging considering the fact that the Philippines is known as a significant exporter of healthcare workers globally. Among the 20 countries with the biggest populations, the Philippines only came out higher than Bangladesh as shown in the Chart B.

There are likely to be several outliers with the regard to the data which when stricken would make some difference to the data as presented above. The aggregate differences, however, are very difficult to ignore.

So – could it be possible that the ability or inability of Filipinos to pay for healthcare is the culprit for these seemingly unflattering comparisons? If we look at GDP per capita (Chart C), however, it would seem like the Philippines’ health industry situation based solely on our metric of beds/10,000 population should have more beds than it currently has which could be supported by its level of relative wealth.

 

Given this, some possible sources of this seemingly illogical state of things would be:

  1. Individual national priorities
  2. Unique regulatory obstacle
  3. Demographic and/or geographic factors
  4. Country-specific industry structures

For enlightenment we looked at comparative data from the World Health Organization (WHO). The following charts show the GDP per capita healthcare spending by our basket of countries adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity and Healthcare Expenditure as a percentage of GDP, respectively.

While any conclusion drawn from these statistics would, at best, be tentative, the Philippines falls within the bottom third in terms of healthcare spending on both a per capita and on a percentage of GDP basis. Now, having drawn this observation, it is also wise to be careful about making generalized conclusions from these two pieces of data.

To delve further into this, we looked at aggregate statistics from the ASEAN region. These statistics focus on healthcare-related comparative data.

 

 

The Philippines is the second largest country in terms of population in the ASEAN region. That alone shows its potential. In terms of healthcare expenditure, however, it ranks in the middle. While probably reflective of the size of the economy in terms of GDP, it could be argued that systemic problems in the Philippine healthcare system – some unique, some not – hold back the expansion of the industry.

The Provision of Healthcare in the Philippines

The Philippine healthcare industry is relatively underdeveloped with a significant potential for rapid growth contingent on the continued expansion of the economy, increased demand-side resources and the some regulatory reform.

While the number of hospital beds in the country is roughly equally divided between the public and private sector, government hospitals, whether run by the Department of Health or the Local Government Units (LGU) serve a disproportionate (70%) segment of the population. The public sector is in turn divided into facilities by the national-level Department of Health (DOH) and those facilities run by the LGUs.

Prior to the enactment of the Local Government Code (LGC) in 1991, the Department of Health (DOH) ran all the government hospitals. With the LGC, the management and governance of an overwhelming number of government hospitals was devolved to these LGUs consisting of provincial, city and municipal governments. This development has had mixed results but the most pressing problem has been to place an additional burden on these LGUs to fund these hospitals from their budgets. In many cases, this has resulted in under-investment in these hospitals to a point where some provincial hospitals had to be taken over by the DOH. There also is the question of the competency of these LGUs to manage the delivery of healthcare through the facilities that they manage.

The chronic funding pressure as well as the question of competency, by themselves, builds a case for the prospective outsourcing of the management of these facilities under the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) scheme. While a seemingly logical choice, issues with regard to the disposition of Civil Service employees as well as the question of facility ownership remain to be resolved and pose a deterrent to private-sector participation.

The private sector while serving only an estimated 30% of the population garners about 60% of aggregate healthcare expenditures. The services provided by the private sector are patterned after the American fee for service model. These are composed of free-standing hospitals, clinics run by sole practitioner physicians and a growing, albeit still infinitesimal, number of multi-specialty healthcare facilities.

Funding

The chart below shows the source of funding for healthcare expenditures (HCEs).

This chart tells many stories. One is that the national health insurance system under the banner of PhilHealth remains in its infancy. The data presented above is actually dated and anecdotal evidence suggests that the share of PhilHealth in funding HCE has risen to close to 20%. The story is similar in the private pooled insurance space (e.g. HMOs). Again, anecdotal evidence supports the hypothesis that it share of funding HCE has risen to about 15%.

The out-sized share (40% to 50%) of out of pocket cash payments again supports the story posited above that pooled risk payment structures are still not as pervasive as they could or should be. Until this equation changes, demand for healthcare services will remain relatively expensive and stunted.

The supply-side of the system also has significant room for improvement. Competition, to a certain degree, remains muted particularly in areas outside Metro Manila. In a noble but misguided attempt to improve physical accessibility of healthcare services, the DOH adopted a stricture which basically does not allow new hospitals to be built within a one-hour radius of an existing hospital. This has instead had the impact of dis-incentivising investment in new construction given the limited number of areas where the construction and operation of a new hospital would be economically viable – a veritable illustration of the law of unintended consequences.

It has also created monopolistic or oligopolistic markets. Competitive pricing is largely absent. This has removed the incentive for existing facilities to reduce costs by increasing efficiencies. With pricing, to a large degree capped by the limited ability of the Filipino consumer to absorb price increases, many hospitals run very thin profit margins. This, in turn, reduces the ability and the inclination of hospitals to spend on upgrades and new equipment. In the end, the consumer loses out by having relatively high prices which due to the under-investment does not directly translate to quality care.

The archipelagic nature of the Philippines has also been historically been resistant to the establishment of national health care players. Instead, what the Philippines’ overwhelmingly has today are entities owning single facilities. This is not efficient from the perspective that economies of scale are not being built by the providers of healthcare. This limits their ability to negotiate with suppliers particularly on big-ticket hospital equipment and pharmaceutical supplies.

The Opportunity

The opportunity that the Philippine healthcare industry space provides is multi-faceted. From a demand standpoint, the size of the population, the still significant population growth rate and the gradual increase in relative wealth will spur growth for healthcare services.

On the supply-side, the providers of healthcare remain very inefficient causing the cost of healthcare delivery to be unnecessarily higher than it could and should be. A national player or players with the right mentality could target the roll-up acquisition of the many single-facility entities, introduce efficiencies and eventually build scale to put pressure on equipment and pharmaceutical suppliers.

The key will be increasing affordability. There will come a “tipping point” where the equilibrium price of healthcare services will be forced down to a degree which will spur a dramatic and substantial spike in demand. The timing for this to happen could be significantly truncated with a properly motivated push to increase efficiencies and reduce prices on the supply-side. Demand will move towards that state of equilibrium without any exceptional healthcare-directed stimulus.

While the experience that underlies the data, whether anecdotal or scientific, is contextually a Philippine experience, the formula of building scale, operating efficiently and thus delivering healthcare at a reasonable cost can be used in other countries in the region to drive demand and increase the quality of healthcare delivery.

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